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美国大使罕见炮轰以军:为大选“诱土耳其开战”,差点导致第三次世界大战_我的网站

洛神

一 |     

据英国《金融时报》报道,美国驻土耳其大使兼叙利亚问题特使汤姆·巴拉克(Tom Barrack)表示,以色列本周空袭叙利亚一座空军基地,可能是一场出于国内政治考量的行动,意在今年秋季大选前“诱使土耳其卷入冲突”。    
An aerial view of Taipei, Taiwan Province. Photo: VCG
    An aerial view of Taipei, Taiwan Province. Photo: VCG
At 2:30 pm on Thursday, Taipei resident Michael Chou received a mobile alert, stating that due to "simulated air attack on communications infrastructure," mobile network access would be affected. 
It turned out to be a mobile internet disruption drill in the northern part of the Taiwan island. As part of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities' "urban resilience drill," the exercise was designed to simulate scenarios of limited communication resources amid major disasters or wartime conditions and verify public‑service backup capabilities, according to Taiwan-based media. 
Yet in the view of observers, this performative farce not only disrupts residents' daily lives, but also acts as a tool for DPP authorities to hype up crises and amplify cross‑Straits confrontation. It essentially serves their scheme of "seeking independence by force" and narrow‑minded electoral interests.
As reported by udn.com, the exercise ran from 2:30 pm to 3 pm. When the alert was triggered, local police diverted pedestrians and vehicles to the roadside and urged the public to take shelter indoors. With mobile network speeds throttled, most people at the site lost mobile internet access; many waited out the drill indoors with available Wi‑fi and passed the time by chatting or reading. 
Chou told the Global Times that 4G and 5G connections were heavily throttled during the drill, though Wi‑Fi and text messaging still worked. Even so, the exercise has created real‑world inconveniences, disrupting takeout delivery, transport‑related ticketing and outdoor emergency rescue services.
Local legislator Ko Ju-chun from the Chinese Kuomintang party was also among those opposing the drill. He accused the DPP for abusing emergency alerts which only exposed the public to inconvenience. He noted that a genuine network‑resilience drill should focus on "how the public obtain information after networks go down," yet local people still had no clear idea how to respond in such circumstances, per Taiwan-based media. 
"The so‑called mobile internet disruption drill has very limited practical combat value. And if a military conflict breaks out across the Taiwan Straits, the real‑world scenario would be far more complex than the DPP authorities have envisioned, with much higher costs to bear," Zhang Wensheng, a deputy dean and a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute at Xiamen University, told the Global Times.
"The DPP authorities want the drill to stoke tensions, drumming up public backing for its combative defense policies and higher military budgets. Yet it fears over‑hyping the specter of war would disrupt daily life and erode its popular support, hence this superficial, showpiece drill," said the expert. 
According to Zhang, the DPP authorities also intend to test Taiwan residents' tolerance threshold. It seeks to observe whether the public will passively acquiesce or push back strongly, so as to assess the mobilization effect of its narratives of "resisting mainland to protect Taiwan" and "rejecting reunification by force."
Prior to the mobile internet disruption drill in northern parts of Taiwan island, seven counties and cities in the central Taiwan region held the same drill on Monday afternoon.
Many residents have questioned why the southern region was exempt. DPP officials claimed southern Taiwan had suffered real‑life communication outages in past years and that a drill in the southern part of the island scheduled to take place at 10 am, when the Stock Exchange of Taiwan region is open, could disrupt real-time stock transactions. 
"This drill is utterly absurd," Chou said, "The DPP probably figures that if anything goes wrong in central and northern Taiwan, it does not matter, local mayors would take the blame."
Echoing Chou, Zhang said that the DPP authorities do not want drill‑related disruptions to harm their core support base in southern Taiwan, particularly Tainan and Kaohsiung. By contrast, jurisdictions across central and northern Taiwan include many areas ruled by the KMT, which are being used as test subjects for the exercise. 
By striking a posture of "combat readiness," hyping up cross‑Straits confrontation and ramping up ideological mobilization, the DPP aims to serve its interests in the year‑end local elections, he added.
"However, voters always pay more attention to livelihoods, the economy and governance performance in local election. If DPP's political manipulation go too far, it will backfire," Zhang said. "The overwhelming majority of Taiwan compatriots refuse to become cannon‑fodder for secessionists."
The DPP authorities do not hesitate to use the well‑being of Taiwan residents and cross‑Straits peace and stability as bargaining chips for their own political interests, fully laying bare its true colors as a troublemaker, the expert warned. 

二 | 这是迄今美国官方对以军此次行动最严厉的公开批评。

三 |

美国大使汤姆·巴拉克美联社

美国大使汤姆·巴拉克美联社本周二,以色列空袭了叙利亚西北部伊德利卜省的阿布·杜胡尔空军基地。

四 | 袭击后,以色列总理内塔尼亚胡称,以方担忧土耳其将在该基地建立军事设施,从而威胁以色列国家安全。以色列一些分析人士进一步猜测,土方计划在那里部署防空雷达和攻击型无人机。但巴拉克22日在一场网络访谈中驳斥了这一说法。“这些说法毫无根据。那里没有任何土耳其军事资产,安卡拉也没有打算进驻这座基地。”他还提出一种更具争议的判断:鉴于内塔尼亚胡目前在民调中落后,以色列可能是在10月大选前采取一种“极具攻击性、但在选举中颇受欢迎”的策略,试图“诱饵式挑动土耳其”。

造袭的阿布·杜胡尔空军基地路透社

造袭的阿布·杜胡尔空军基地路透社巴拉克透露,空袭发生后,土耳其原本完全可以起飞战斗机拦截以军战机,而这将造成“一场没有必要的升级”。他进一步警告称:“那可能演变成第三次世界大战。”他还提出另一种可能性,即此次空袭源于内塔尼亚胡办公室、以色列国防军(IDF)与摩萨德之间的“沟通失误”。巴拉克的言论很快遭到以色列国防部长伊斯雷尔·卡茨反驳。值得注意的是,卡茨选择在犹太教安息日发布声明,这在以色列政坛较为罕见。卡茨称,以军是依据“明确情报”多次建议打击阿布·杜胡尔基地,因为土耳其计划在那里开展军事行动。

五 | 他还表示:已向叙利亚政府发出“直接警告”,美国也在行动前获悉相关信息。这一说法遭巴拉克否认。卡茨还讽刺称:“埃尔多安被抓了个现行,只能被迫后退。”他同时批评巴拉克将戈兰高地称作“被占领的叙利亚土地”,强调特朗普在第一任期内已承认以色列对戈兰高地的主权。

六 | 2024年以来,加沙战争导致土耳其与以色列关系急剧降温,土耳其暂停了两国双边贸易。此后,双方矛盾进一步扩大,叙利亚成为最主要的摩擦点。今年6月,以军扩大对叙利亚和黎巴嫩的军事行动时,埃尔多安曾公开表示:“土耳其的安全,始于阿勒颇,始于大马士革,也始于贝鲁特。我们绝不会对针对兄弟的任何攻击视而不见。”随着土耳其地区影响力不断扩大,以色列国内越来越多政界人士和战略分析人士开始将其视作新的安全挑战,甚至有人将土耳其称为“新的伊朗”。

七 |

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Published on:02:27:59


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